Historical back-test of 0x94a4…6356. How a fixed-stake follower would have performed mirroring this whale's last 10 resolved Polymarket trades. All numbers below are derived from public on-chain activity — they describe what already happened, not a prediction.
Use the interactive simulator to change stake-per-bet ($50–$5k), trade count (3–25), and include open positions.
| Market | Side | Entry | Current | Status | Profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | 0.00 | LOSS | $-500 | -100.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.72 | 0.01 | LOSS | $-491 | -98.3% |
| Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1? | BUY | 0.39 | 1.00 | WIN | +$799 | +159.7% |
| Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1? | BUY | 0.50 | 0.00 | LOSS | $-500 | -100.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.77 | 1.00 | WIN | +$146 | +29.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.03 | 0.04 | OPEN | +$194 | +38.9% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | 0.03 | OPEN | $-303 | -60.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | 0.01 | LOSS | $-287 | -57.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | SELL | 0.00 | 1.00 | LOSS | $-50k | -9963.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | SELL | 0.01 | 1.00 | LOSS | $-39k | -7900.0% |
Disclaimer: Informational simulation based on publicly observed wallet activity. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Not investment, betting, or trading advice.
PolySharks.ai is a market-intelligence and analytics platform operated by 8eight8 LLC. The site is provided for informational and educational purposes only — it is not financial, legal, tax, or gambling advice. Past whale performance and historical data carry no guarantee of future outcomes. Trading prediction markets involves substantial risk of loss, including 100% of principal. Users are solely responsible for compliance with the laws of their local jurisdiction — prediction-market access is restricted or prohibited in some US states and countries; verify legality before depositing or trading on Polymarket or Kalshi. PolySharks does not custody funds and is not affiliated with Polymarket Inc. or Kalshi Inc. 18+ only (21+ in some jurisdictions).